When the Facts Change cover image

When the Facts Change

We may have slain the inflation dragon

Jul 18, 2024
Mary Jo Vergara from Kiwibank, an expert on interest rates and housing dynamics, shares her insights on the recent drop in inflation from 7.3% to 3.3%. She delves into its implications for interest rates and the housing market, pointing to potential cuts from the Reserve Bank. The discussion also highlights economic trends such as declining consumer spending and the complexities of monetary policy. Looking ahead, Mary Jo offers an optimistic view for 2025, anticipating recovery in business investment and consumer confidence.
29:49

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The significant drop in inflation rates from 7.3% to 3.3% indicates a hopeful economic recovery and potential interest rate cuts for borrowers.
  • Despite easing inflation overall, persistent domestic inflation in housing and services complicates the Reserve Bank's ability to stabilize the economy.

Deep dives

Inflation Trends and Economic Recovery

Recent data shows a significant drop in inflation rates, declining from a peak of 7.3% to a notable 3.3%, marking the lowest rate since June 2021. This reduction is largely driven by decreased imported inflation, which has helped ease overall economic concerns. As the economy begins to recover from a prolonged recession, expectations arise for the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates, possibly as early as November, which would bring much-needed relief to borrowers. The moderation of inflation is viewed positively, providing a hopeful outlook for the future economic landscape.

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