When the Facts Change cover image

We may have slain the inflation dragon

When the Facts Change

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Analyzing the Decline in Economic Activity and Inflation Trends

This chapter examines the recent drop in the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) to 41.1%, highlighting declining economic activity reminiscent of the Global Financial Crisis. The discussion also explores the effects of monetary policies on demand, the unexpected inflation surge of 2021-2022, and the factors driving the current decline in inflation.

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