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Making Sense

The Market Outlook at Mid-Year: A Long Road to Normal

Jul 19, 2024
Global economists and analysts from J.P. Morgan discuss the market outlook for the second half of 2024. They cover topics like global growth forecasts, equities performance, currency trends, U.S. and international rates, commodities, credit markets, and emerging markets outlook. Insights on market uncertainties, business performance, consumer challenges, and asset class analysis are explored for a comprehensive look at the mid-year market forecast.
31:49

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Quick takeaways

  • Shift to sustainable growth supports limited central bank easing, prolonged 'high for long' environment.
  • Equity markets face challenges with potential shift in leadership and trade-offs due to rising consumer demands.

Deep dives

Economic Outlook & Central Bank Policy

The global economy is transitioning to a more sustainable path, broadening its growth base and aiming to bring inflation down to target levels. This shift supports limited central bank easing and suggests a prolonged 'high for long' environment. Factors influencing the second half include hesitant consumer spending despite increased purchasing power, sluggish profits despite high margins, and sticky inflation coupled with resilient growth.

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