Making Sense

The discussion kicks off with a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment in U.S. equities, driven by optimistic trade deals and strong tech earnings. Insights into sector performance, especially in technology and finance, highlight both potential gains and looming risks. The conversation also delves into international equity landscapes, comparing European markets to U.S. challenges, particularly impacts from currency fluctuations and tariffs. Ultimately, the team suggests a tactical investment strategy as economic indicators signal caution ahead.

Mike Feroli, J.P. Morgan's chief U.S. economist, dives into the solid April jobs report, noting the addition of 177,000 jobs despite economic uncertainties. He discusses how trade and tariff policies are shaping job growth, particularly in distributive services. The conversation shifts to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts amidst labor market changes. Feroli highlights economic resilience, consumer sentiment, and the impacts of fiscal policies like tax cuts on growth projections and inflation concerns.

Rebecca Wilmott, Executive Director in J.P. Morgan’s EMEA Custody Product team, dives into the complexities of securities taxation in Europe. She discusses how evolving regulations necessitate enhanced collaboration between custodians and tax authorities. The conversation highlights the critical role of technology, including AI, in improving compliance and risk management. Wilmott also emphasizes the need for custodians to adapt swiftly to maintain optimal service standards amid the shifting landscape of tax challenges and client demands.

In this episode, Edwina Lowe, product specialist in the Data Assets and Alpha Group, speaks with Eloise Goulder, head of the group. Edwina and Eloise discuss the merits of data vs. model in the systematic investing process and the extent to which both are critically important. This episode marks the 100th episode of the Trading Insights series on our Making Sense podcast channel.    This episode was recorded on April 3, 2025.   Shownotes:  To learn more about the Data Assets & Alpha Group:  https://www.jpmorgan.com/markets/market-data-intelligence   Related podcasts:  How the Bank of England harnesses AI and data AI in the macro process, with Balyasny’s head of Macro Research & Chief Economist   The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan’s Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument.  This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions.  J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed.  For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.

In this episode, host Evan Junek, global head of Corporate Finance Advisory, with Jay Hofmann, head of North America M&A, and Brian Tramontozzi, head of North America Leveraged Finance Capital Markets, explore the current state of M&A and capital markets amid market volatility. They discuss trends, challenges, and opportunities in debt capital markets and private credit, as well as M&A activities, providing valuable insights in today’s uncertain environment.    This episode was recorded on April 21, 2025.  This material was prepared by certain personnel of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates and subsidiaries worldwide and not the firm’s research department. It is for informational purposes only, is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase, sale or tender of any financial instrument and does not constitute a commitment, undertaking, offer or solicitation by any JPMorgan Chase entity to extend or arrange credit or provide any other products or services to any person or entity.  

As President Trump approaches the 100-day mark of his second term, what has gone as expected and what has left experts surprised? Join Samantha Azzarello, head of content strategy for J.P. Morgan Research as she discusses President Trump’s first 100 days and beyond with: ·       Bruce Kasman, chief Global Economist ·       Kamal Tamboli, U.S. equity strategist ·       Natasha Kaneva, head of Global Commodity Strategy With heightened trade policy uncertainty stemming from a flurry of tariff activity, what will J.P. Morgan Research be watching in the coming weeks and months?   This episode was recorded on April 16, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication. This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan. Copyright 2025, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.  

John Sim, head of Securitized Products Research at J.P. Morgan, untangles the intricate web of the U.S. housing market. The conversation dives into how tariffs impact construction costs and affect home prices. Sim discusses the locked-in mortgage rates benefiting current homeowners, while renters face growing affordability challenges. They also predict mortgage rates could drop to 5.75% by the end of 2025, amidst changing economic conditions. Finally, rising insurance costs and consistent tenant retention rates shape rental market dynamics.

In this episode, Daniel Rudnicki Schlumberger, head of Leveraged Finance for EMEA, talks with Ben Thompson, head of EMEA Leveraged Finance Capital Markets, and Natalie Day Netter, head of EMEA Leveraged Finance Syndicate. They discuss the latest developments in the EMEA leveraged debt landscape, including historic market moves, changing investor behavior, and expectations for the rest of the year.   This episode was recorded on April 7, 2025.   This material was prepared by certain personnel of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates and subsidiaries worldwide and not the firm’s research department. It is for informational purposes only, is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase, sale or tender of any financial instrument and does not constitute a commitment, undertaking, offer or solicitation by any JPMorgan Chase entity to extend or arrange credit or provide any other products or services to any person or entity.   © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.

In this episode, Eloise Goulder, head of J.P. Morgan’s Data Assets and Alpha Group and James Benford, chief data officer at the Bank of England, discuss the potential for data and AI to transform decision-making both at the Bank of England and across the finance industry more widely. They also discuss the impact of generative AI on market efficiency and financial stability, the balance between the use of AI and human judgement as well as the ethical considerations shaping the future of financial services.    This episode was recorded on March 19, 2025.   Shownotes:  To learn more about James Benford’s role at the Bank of England: James Benford | Bank of England Further information on the Bank of England’s Data and Analytics Strategy: The Bank’s data and analytics strategy: a three-year roadmap | Bank of England   Disclaimer: The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan’s Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument.  This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions.  J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed.  For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.

In this episode, Lauren Brice from the U.S. Rates Sales team and Mike Feroli, J.P. Morgan's chief U.S. economist, unpack the key takeaways from the March U.S. jobs report and explore the economic path ahead. Lauren and Mike discuss the favorable numbers, the impact of immigration policies on labor market growth and the divergence between hard data and sentiment data. They also tackle the hot topic of tariffs, their potential effects on U.S. jobs and the challenges facing the Federal Reserve in balancing inflation and growth impulses.    This episode was recorded on April 4, 2025.     This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication.  This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan.  Copyright 2025, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.