Talks at Google

Ep306 - Gerd Gigerenzer | How to Stay Smart in a Smart World

Dec 27, 2022
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INSIGHT

Stable World Principle

  • Complex algorithms thrive in stable environments where data consistently predicts the future.
  • Human intelligence excels in uncertain, unstable environments where adaptability is key.
ANECDOTE

Google Flu Trends Failure

  • Google Flu Trends, using big data, failed to predict the 2009 swine flu.
  • A simple algorithm based on recent data outperformed Google's complex model.
ADVICE

Explainable AI

  • Favor simple, transparent algorithms in unstable situations like recidivism prediction.
  • These perform as well as black box models and promote explainability.
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