Sarah Harper, Professor in Gerontology at the University of Oxford, discusses the implications of longer life expectancy, declining fertility rates, the evolution of retirement, and China's one-child policy. She also shares her personal experience of studying aging while going through the process herself.
Improvements in healthcare, family planning, and education for women have contributed to the global decline in fertility rates.
Increasing life expectancy and declining fertility rates will lead to a significant shift in population demographics, affecting workforce dynamics, social systems, and healthcare needs.
Deep dives
Population Aging and Declining Fertility Rates
The podcast explores the decline in fertility rates worldwide due to improved access to family planning, better healthcare, and increased education for women. The total fertility rate has consistently decreased in Europe, North America, Asia, and Latin America. It is predicted that global population growth will stabilize around 9 to 10 billion by 2050, which is significantly lower than once feared.
Societal Impact of Longer Life Expectancy
The podcast highlights the impact of longer life expectancy on societal dynamics. With people living longer and declining fertility rates, there will be an increasing number of older adults compared to younger generations. This shift in population structure brings changes in workforce dynamics, social dynamics, and the need for adapting healthcare, housing, and transportation systems.
Cultural and Economic Factors Influencing Childbearing
The podcast presents case studies from different parts of the world to exemplify the cultural and economic factors influencing childbearing decisions. Factors such as education, career aspirations, economic stability, and societal support play significant roles in determining the number of children women choose to have. For instance, highly educated women in Malaysia may opt for fewer children to prioritize their careers, while in Uganda, despite education, economic insecurity influences some women to choose larger families.
People around the world are living longer and, on the whole, having fewer children. What does this mean for future populations? Sarah Harper CBE, Professor in Gerontology at the University of Oxford, tells presenter Jim Al-Khalili how it could affect pensions, why it might mean we work for longer, and discusses the ways modern life is changing global attitudes to when we have children, and whether we have them at all. Fertility and ageing have been Sarah's life's work and she tells her story of giving up a career in the media to carry out in-depth research, and going on to study population change in the UK and China, setting up the Oxford Institute of Population Ageing and later becoming a Scientific Advisor to UK Government.
Presenter: Jim Al-Khalili
Producer: Tom Bonnett
Production Co-ordinator: Jonathan Harris
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