Ukrainecast 2025: A decisive year for Ukraine?
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Dec 10, 2024 Sarah Rainsford, a BBC correspondent focused on Eastern Europe and the Ukraine war, joins Mark Galeotti, a noted Russia expert, and Tim Whewell, who covers Poland-Ukraine relations. They discuss the potential implications of a Trump presidency in 2025 on U.S. military aid to Ukraine and the ongoing conflict. The challenges of peace negotiations are examined, along with the impact on Ukrainian society from conscription issues. Additionally, they delve into the changing dynamics in Russia and historical tensions affecting Poland's support for Ukraine.
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Trump's Approach to the War
- Donald Trump prioritizes short-term gains and simple solutions.
- He may impose a ceasefire, but this won't equal peace, potentially hindering both sides.
Potential Western Troop Deployment
- Zelensky considers Western troops patrolling a demilitarized zone within Ukraine.
- This would mean significant territorial losses, a difficult compromise for Ukraine.
Ukraine's NATO Membership
- Officially, NATO membership involves complex processes of integration.
- Unofficially, many NATO members are hesitant due to risks of a larger war.