Based Camp | Simone & Malcolm Collins

Black Births Fell Below Whites: Why No One Told You

Oct 24, 2025
The hosts delve into the alarming trends of declining black fertility rates, revealing they have dipped below white rates for the first time. Key factors influencing this change include socioeconomic status, educational levels, and shifting cultural attitudes. They also discuss the historical impact of organizations like Planned Parenthood and the effects of immigration on overall statistics. Insights into regional disparities, marriage dynamics, and the influence of progressive narratives provide a thought-provoking analysis of this critical issue.
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INSIGHT

Black Fertility Has Fallen Below White Fertility

  • CDC data show Black total fertility rate fell faster than White TFR from 2000–2023.
  • Preliminary 2024 estimates put Black TFR below White TFR, signaling a major demographic shift.
INSIGHT

Immigration Masks Native Black Fertility Decline

  • Removing Black immigrants could lower native Black TFR to around 1.36.
  • Immigrant Black women currently raise aggregate Black fertility rates in the US.
ANECDOTE

Hosts' Personal Observations Of Friend Groups

  • Malcolm describes his social circle and notes few Black friends have children with Black partners.
  • He observes many Black friends in mixed-race marriages and few in endogamous Black families.
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