Annie Duke, former poker pro, discusses decision-making in her book. Topics include 'resulting', biases, and practical tools for better choices. She talks about chunking, mental models, and the impact of information warfare. The conversation also touches on reflecting biases, real-life examples, and beautiful plays in sports history.
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question_answer ANECDOTE
Super Bowl Interception
Pete Carroll's 2015 Super Bowl pass play is infamous for being intercepted.
This highlights the "resulting" problem: judging decisions solely on outcomes.
insights INSIGHT
Mental Models
Vivid examples and clear mental models enhance understanding and recall.
"Resulting" and "theming" are effective because they provide context and make concepts memorable.
question_answer ANECDOTE
Availability Bias
People overestimate shark attacks versus falling coconuts due to availability bias.
Vividness and recall influence our perception of frequency, not actual data.
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I’m joined by decision-making expert Annie Duke to unpack what you can do to achieve your long-term goals.
Annie Duke is an American former professional poker player and author in behavioral decision science and decision education. She holds a World Series of Poker gold bracelet from 2004 and used to be the leading money winner among women in WSOP history. Annie is also the co-founder of The Alliance for Decision Education, a non-profit whose mission is to improve lives by empowering students through decision skills education.
Join the conversation as dive into her latest book How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices. We also discuss ‘resulting’, reflecting on your own biases, information warfare– and the most beautiful play in super bowl history.
Talking Points
Her experience of writing a How-To book
The fundamentals of ‘resulting’
Learning from real-life examples, chunking and mental models
Availability bias and process influencing
What happens when you hear things for third time
Quote
“Get on the right time horizon.”
Helpful Links
How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices | Amazon
Being Tony Robbins
Lynn Hasher
Daniel Dale
AnnieDuke.com
Annie’s Twitter
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A Productive Conversation 