The Art of Investing

Frances Donald: The 5 Forces Reshaping Financial Markets That Investors Need to Know

Jan 16, 2026
Frances Donald, Chief Economist at the Royal Bank of Canada, shares her insights on today’s financial landscape. She discusses how geopolitical tensions shape market dynamics, emphasizing slow-burning risks that many investors overlook. Donald also highlights the strong performance of commodities and the implications of inflation on growth. With a fresh perspective on unemployment and the impact of AI on youth jobs, she explains why traditional economic indicators may no longer apply. Prepare for a thought-provoking journey through the evolving economic environment!
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ANECDOTE

Career Shaped By Real-World Company Calls

  • Frances recounts her career across central bank, sell-side and asset management roles to show how roles shape analysis.
  • She says speaking to company management made her see GDP as the sum of many business realities.
INSIGHT

Inflation Risk Is Quiet, Not Dead

  • Frances believes inflation risk is underappreciated and may re-emerge even if current headline data looks calm.
  • She cites inventory drawdowns and tariffs as forces that could push goods and information inflation higher into Q2.
INSIGHT

The Business-Cycle Playbook Is Losing Value

  • Frances argues the old early/mid/late cycle playbook is breaking down and misled economists in 2023.
  • She urges focusing on sticky structural themes rather than short-term cycle indicators.
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