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HSBC Global Viewpoint: Banking and Markets

The Macro Viewpoint - Talking about inflation

Apr 21, 2023
17:02

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Upside surprises in inflation data contradicting disinflationary expectations due to lockdowns and reduced demand.
  • The reverse of globalization, flawed comparisons to the Great Depression, and loose monetary policy contributed to the rise in inflation.

Deep dives

Understanding the Upside Surprises in Inflation Data

In the podcast, economist Stephen King discusses the initial controversy surrounding the idea of inflation at the beginning of 2021. He explains that upside surprises in inflation data were observed in the US, UK, and Eurozone, contradicting the expectations of disinflationary pressures due to lockdowns and reduced demand. As the year progressed, inflation trends expanded to various sectors, including goods, services, and wage pressures. King argues that this suggests a broader issue with inflation and raises questions about policy and market responses.

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