Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova March Madness Bracket Extravaganza
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Mar 19, 2025 Dive into the thrilling world of college basketball as the hosts tackle March Madness with a blend of data and instinct. They outline Nate's innovative predictive model while Maria relies on vibes for one of her brackets, showcasing different strategies. Enjoy their banter on potential Final Four candidates and the excitement of upsets. The discussion highlights team rivalries and humorous anecdotes, making it a fun take on the tournament. With friendly wagers and superstitions tossed in, the anticipation for the games is palpable!
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Model's Origin
- Nate Silver's March Madness model originated during his time at KPMG.
- He created it for an office pool with upset-based scoring.
Consensus over Individual Indicators
- Combining multiple indicators improves prediction accuracy compared to using single indicators.
- Nate Silver's model blends five rating systems.
Consider Injuries
- Account for injuries when making predictions, as they significantly impact team performance.
- Cooper Flagg's injury, for example, affects Duke's prospects.