Nate and Maria dive into bold predictions for 2025, from volatile Bitcoin forecasts to the potential of Elon Musk becoming the first trillionaire. They explore the unpredictable realm of poker winnings and the emotional challenges players face. The duo also discusses the influence of cognitive biases on public perception, using the Golden Globes as an example. Amid pop culture chatter, they tackle TikTok's uncertain future and reflect on healthcare innovations. Will skinny jeans make a comeback? Tune in for their lively takes!

Henry Rich, a serial entrepreneur and head of the Oberon Restaurant Group, shares his insights from navigating the tumultuous waters of the restaurant industry. He delves into learning from failure and the importance of making well-informed decisions that account for future implications. Rich discusses the balance of financial and emotional investments in entrepreneurship, the necessity of sustainability, and how parenting has shaped his views on risk management. His journey emphasizes adaptability and the need for a clear purpose in overcoming challenges.

The hosts explore the pitfalls of black and white thinking, using Luigi Mangione's insights to highlight how social media platforms like Bluesky and X can create harmful bubbles. They dive into the shock of the reigning chess champion's unexpected loss, discussing the psychology behind high-stakes choking. The conversation flows into the mental and physical dynamics of poker tournaments, emphasizing how fatigue impacts decision-making. It's a blend of critical thinking and personal anecdotes that illuminate the intricacies of competition and social media.

The hosts hand out their first annual Riskies awards, celebrating the best and worst decisions of 2024. Highlights include a daring trader's 'Hero Call' and a political blunder. They dive into cognitive biases impacting political choices, like the sunk cost fallacy, while also exploring notable moves in sports betting. Plus, there's a light-hearted poker update and a fascinating discussion on the cognitive benefits of learning multiple languages. It's a blend of strategy, insight, and entertainment!

Dive into a vibrant discussion about Hunter Biden's pardon and the complex world of political accountability. The hosts explore game theory's role in holiday gift-giving, emphasizing thoughtful presents over mere materialism. Personal anecdotes reveal how to select meaningful gifts for different personalities, while quirky tales add humor to the subject. Discover strategies for navigating the challenges of choosing the right gift, fostering real connections, and even learn about a fun poker meetup in Las Vegas!

Dr. Laurie Santos, a Yale psychologist and host of The Happiness Lab, teams up with Elie Hassenfeld, CEO of GiveWell, to explore the joy of giving. They discuss how spending on others boosts happiness and reveal the most impactful charities identified by research. Listeners learn the psychology behind altruism and how acts of kindness not only help communities but also enhance personal well-being. Engaging anecdotes connect poker strategies to generosity, making the conversation both insightful and entertaining.

Discover optimal travel strategies from seasoned travelers. Learn the best times to arrive at airports and how to navigate dining choices. Hear personal anecdotes about their biggest travel missteps. Dive into a scandal in academic psychology and explore issues of trust and integrity in research. Uncover the pitfalls of modern academia and the importance of maintaining ethical standards. Plus, celebrate philanthropic efforts through charitable events while discussing the challenges of targeted advertising in reaching suitable audiences.

The hosts dive into game theory as they analyze how moderate Republican senators navigate Trump's controversial cabinet picks. They unpack the political risks involved and the tension between party loyalty and personal conviction. Switching gears to the NFL, they highlight the new Guardian Caps intended to reduce concussions. Despite their promise, many players resist wearing them, driven by cultural pressures around toughness. The discussion challenges societal beliefs that impact both sports safety and political decision-making.

The hosts delve into how figures like Elon Musk are shaping the Trump Administration's influence. Discussions touch on the upcoming 2026 elections and the hurdles Democrats face in this evolving political landscape. They also blend political insights with poker strategies, reflecting on high-stakes tournament experiences and the psychology of gameplay. Key decision-making processes in poker are analyzed, emphasizing strategies for success and the challenges posed by fatigue and adaptation in both politics and gaming.

Nate and Maria dive into the surprising dynamics of the recent election results, highlighting polling errors and the intricacies of prediction markets. They discuss demographic shifts and how Trump's leadership resonates with diverse voters. Insights into the effectiveness of polling methods emerge, questioning traditional forecasting approaches. Additionally, they explore the implications of federal appointments during transitions and tease political predictions, linking poker strategy with electoral tactics. It’s a fascinating blend of politics and data-driven analysis!