Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova cover image

March Madness Bracket Extravaganza

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

CHAPTER

March Madness Model Madness

This chapter explores the excitement of March Madness and the complexities of creating tournament brackets using a sophisticated regression-based ELO model. The hosts discuss the balance between empirical data and expert insights in predicting game outcomes, highlighting the nuances in team performance influenced by factors such as injuries and home court advantage. They also address the differences in modeling strategies between men's and women's basketball, alongside the evolving landscape of the sport.

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