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Global Data Pod

Global Data Pod Weekender: Can you hear me now?

Jun 14, 2024
Economist Bruce Kasman and financial expert Joseph Lupton discuss the Fed's cautious optimism amidst soft inflation data. Topics include rate cutting cycles, economic indicators, long-term forecasts, and the Fed's influence on market expectations.
28:03

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Fed maintains a cautious but hopeful stance on rate cuts starting this year and continuing through 2026.
  • Inflation trends suggest potential early easing, with a need for sustained lower numbers for policy action.

Deep dives

Interpretation of Recent Events and CPI Trends

Discussions on recent headline events like the CPI and Fed meeting signaled a step in the right direction, cautiously optimistic about potential rate cuts as early as September if consistent trends continue. The focus is on stringing together three months of 2.5% or less annualized to consider rate cuts. Despite some strong CPI prints, there's a need for sustained lower numbers for policy action.

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