On Investing

Do Tariffs Change the Economic Outlook? (With Phil Mackintosh)

8 snips
Feb 21, 2025
Phil Mackintosh, chief economist at Nasdaq, shares his insights on navigating the unique post-pandemic economic cycle. He discusses the impact of tariffs on inflation and global trade, emphasizing the need for diversification in investment strategies. Mackintosh explores the roles of the Federal Reserve and immigration on the labor force, while examining the transformative effects of AI on productivity and corporate profitability. He also highlights the challenges for small-cap companies amid rising costs and interest rates, offering a comprehensive outlook on economic opportunities and risks.
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INSIGHT

Market Stability Amid Tariff Concerns

  • The U.S. dollar and Treasury market remain stable despite tariff concerns.
  • Investors view tariffs as negotiating tactics, not substantial threats.
INSIGHT

Shifting Influence on Stock Returns

  • Macro factors are declining in influencing individual stock returns.
  • Individual company fundamentals are now more impactful on equity performance.
INSIGHT

Complexity of Global Trade

  • Global trade is a complex ecosystem; many countries contribute to single products.
  • Bringing production back to the U.S. is difficult given this interconnectedness.
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