

EP11 Dave Snowden and Systems Thinking
01:14:57
Complicated vs. Complex
- Complexity theory differentiates complicated from complex systems.
- Complex systems resist prediction; focus on understanding the present.
Apex Predator Theory: IBM & Microsoft
- IBM's near-failure illustrates the Apex Predator Theory: dominant entities miss commoditization.
- Microsoft's rise exemplifies this, paralleling neoliberalism's homogenization and populism's surge.
Beyond Social Media
- Apply new living theories practically, not just through discussion.
- Ground-level action surpasses social media discourse.
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Introduction
00:00 • 3min
Is Deterministic Chaos the Best Next Step?
02:54 • 3min
Complexity Science and Cognitive Neuroscience
05:36 • 2min
The Conniving Framework
07:39 • 6min
The Components of a Complicated System
13:09 • 2min
Is Complexity Encased in Complexity?
15:14 • 2min
The Apex Predator Theory
17:14 • 2min
Isn't It Time for a New Theory of Social Operating Systems?
18:52 • 2min
Global Warming
21:19 • 2min
Complex Systems Thinking and Coevolutionary Fitness Landscapes for M&A
23:00 • 4min
Using Agent-Based Modeling in Complexity Science?
26:51 • 2min
Is Talib a Fucking Idiot?
28:36 • 2min
The Fattest Fat Tony Quinta
30:52 • 3min
The Next Big Financial Reverse Will Look Bigger Than 2008?
33:44 • 2min
Is There a Human Superpower in the Deep Learning World?
35:50 • 3min
The Role of Aesthetics in Human Evolution
38:48 • 2min
Deakin Symbolic Species Kill Chomsky Views of Language Off
40:57 • 2min
Are We Getting More Autistic Programmers?
42:29 • 2min
Are You a Simulationist?
44:09 • 3min
The Attitude Map
47:02 • 2min
How to Measure Coherence Within an Organization
49:20 • 2min
Is There a Black Box?
51:41 • 2min
The Importance of Downward Causality in Complex Systems
53:38 • 2min
Red Teams and Multi-Hypothesis
56:07 • 2min
What's the Key to Narrative in Your Work?
57:55 • 2min
Making Sense of Complexity Using Sense Maker
01:00:20 • 3min
Is It a Great Replacement for Political Polling?
01:03:05 • 2min
What I've Learned So Far About Your Work
01:04:53 • 3min
Is There a Future in Social Science?
01:08:05 • 2min
Social Science Is a Pseudoscience
01:10:13 • 2min
Is There a Free Lunch Theorem?
01:12:23 • 2min
Dave Snowden is Founder and Chief Scientific Officer of Cognitive Edge. His work is international in nature and covers government and industry looking at complex issues relating to strategy and organizational decision-making. He has pioneered a science-based approach to organizations drawing on anthropology, neuroscience, and complex adaptive systems theory. He is a popular and passionate keynote speaker on a range of subjects, and is well-known for his pragmatic cynicism and iconoclastic style.
Dave holds visiting Chairs at the Universities of Pretoria and Hong Kong Polytechnic University as well as a visiting fellowship at the University of Warwick. He is a senior fellow at the Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies at Nanyang University and the Civil Service College in Singapore.
Introduction to Dave Snowden and Cynefin 13 minutes
Complicated vs. Complex + Apex Predator Theory 14 minutes
Agent-Based Modeling + "Anticipatory Triggers" 9 minutes
Artificial Intelligence + Chomsky Bashing 9 minutes
Practical Applications for Managers 9 minutes
Downward Causality + Red Team 6 minutes
SenseMaker Software 6 minutes
Mapping the Present 8 minutes
Transcripts for The Jim Rutt Show featuring Dave Snowden
Keynames this Episode:
Jim Rutt, Dave Snowden, Santa Fe Institute, SFI, Cognitive Edge, Cynefin, SenseMaker, University of Pretoria, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, University of Warwick, IBM, DARPA, Harvard Business Review, HBR, Stuart Koffman, Walter Freeman, Ralph Stacey, Luis Lobo-Guerrero, David Chandler, René Thom, Clayton Christensen, Extinction Rebellion, Thomson-Reuters, Murray Gell-Man, Carl Friedrich Gauss, Vilfredo Pareto, Nassim Taleb, David Wolpert, Gary Marcus, Ben Goertzel, Josh Tenenbaum, Ogletree Deakins, Noam Chomsky, Jacques Lacan, Ayn Rand, "Nudge", "Thinking, Fast and Slow", Daniel Kahneman, Baxter, VECO, Rikolto, Myers-Briggs, Andy Clark
Keywords this Episode:
Jim Rutt, Dave Snowden, audio, podcast, interview, decision-making, strategy, design, knowledge management, business management, process engineering, management science, complexity, cognitive neuroscience, order, chaos, disorder, constrained, enabling constraints, competence induced failure, symbiosis, populism, Ebola, contagion, Apex Predator, global warming, Hong Kong protests, China strategy, coevolutionary fitness landscapes, agent-based model, simulation, correlation, causation, downward causality, Gaussian distribution, Pareto distribution, artificial intelligence, AI, general artificial intelligence, AGI, symbolic AI, deep learning, anticipatory triggers, counterterrorism, 9/11, No Free Lunch Theorem, Alpha Go, abstraction, epigenetics, intelligence, autism, evolutionary biology, philosophy of mind, behavioral economics, diversity, dissent, red team, narrative, business scan, employee survey, employee evaluation, employee review, assessments, 360-degree assessments, cultural evolution, agile development, Six Sigma, astrology