

#31.2 - Problematic Probability, with Ben Chugg
Aug 1, 2021
In this discussion, Ben Chugg, a research fellow at Stanford Law School with expertise in math and computer science, dives into intriguing philosophical topics. They explore Pascal's mugging and the pitfalls of probability, questioning traditional decision-making. The conversation shifts to cliodynamics, highlighting the unpredictability of history. Ethical implications of AI and immortality spark reflections on societal values and mental health. Lastly, they confront the complexities of suffering and longtermism, critiquing effective altruism's direction.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Pascal's Mugging and Probability Pitfalls
01:44 • 23min
Cliodynamics and the Illusion of Predictability
24:40 • 8min
Analyzing Patterns and Data in Violence Studies
32:51 • 2min
Navigating Self-Perception and Social Dynamics
34:32 • 2min
Ethics and Immortality in AGI Development
36:23 • 16min
The Philosophy of Suffering and Growth
52:38 • 21min
Navigating Long Termism and Effective Altruism
01:13:45 • 12min
Exploring New Media and Mutual Promotion
01:25:50 • 2min