#31.2 - Problematic Probability, with Ben Chugg
Do Explain with Christofer Lövgren
Pascal's Mugging and Probability Pitfalls
This chapter explores the philosophical thought experiment of Pascal's mugging, illustrating the challenges of rational decision-making under uncertainty. It examines the complexities of probability assessments in decision theory, particularly in high-stakes scenarios, and critiques the application of mathematical probability to real-world situations. The discussion highlights the limitations of Bayesian decision-making and the misuse of probabilistic modeling in predicting future events.
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