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#31.2 - Problematic Probability, with Ben Chugg

Do Explain with Christofer Lövgren

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Pascal's Mugging and Probability Pitfalls

This chapter explores the philosophical thought experiment of Pascal's mugging, illustrating the challenges of rational decision-making under uncertainty. It examines the complexities of probability assessments in decision theory, particularly in high-stakes scenarios, and critiques the application of mathematical probability to real-world situations. The discussion highlights the limitations of Bayesian decision-making and the misuse of probabilistic modeling in predicting future events.

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