Katja Grace on Slowing Down AI, AI Expert Surveys And Estimating AI Risk

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

Slowing Artificial Intelligence Progress?

01:31 • 2min

3

Slowing Down AI Progress?

03:39 • 3min

4

Are We Going to Slow Down a I Too Much?

06:43 • 2min

5

How to Build a Line a I?

09:06 • 3min

6

Are You Actually in an Arms Race?

11:41 • 2min

7

Is It a Good Idea to Build a Nuclear Weapon?

14:10 • 3min

8

Is It the Safety to Get to the People?

17:02 • 2min

9

I've Played the Game Intelligence Rising

18:36 • 2min

10

Do You Think We Can't Convince People to Slow Down?

20:42 • 3min

11

How to Convince People to Stop Trying to Stop Artificial Intelligence?

23:13 • 2min

12

Do You Think There's a Ten % Chance That You're Going to Die?

25:20 • 2min

13

Lobbing for Climbing Chan Hes Worked Pretty Well

27:21 • 2min

14

Is There a Slowing Down of Progress?

29:06 • 2min

15

Is It Possible to Work on Alignment Without Forwarding Ai Progress?

31:00 • 2min

16

Why People Aren't Trying to Slow Down Progress

32:43 • 2min

17

Economic Pressure Is Impossible to Avoid

34:35 • 2min

18

Colonizing the Stars Without a G I?

36:22 • 2min

19

Is It Possible to Send Minplods to Space?

38:30 • 2min

20

Is There Any Hope for a Better World?

40:37 • 2min

21

How to Make Predictions on Metaculus?

42:16 • 2min

22

Is Number a Conditional Proablity?

44:27 • 2min

23

Is an Ai Agentic?

46:39 • 2min

24

I'd Like to Be an Agent, or Something Like That?

48:57 • 2min

25

Is There a Risk to Humanity?

50:43 • 3min

26

How Do You Think We're Going to Have a Slow or Fast Take Off?

53:13 • 2min

27

What Are the Questions You Ask in 20 16?

55:25 • 4min

28

Is There a High Level Machine Intelligence?

59:11 • 2min

29

Is There a Future for Robotics?

01:00:48 • 2min

30

All Economically Useful Tasks Is Going to Be Pretty Similar to All Tasks

01:03:00 • 3min

31

Is It a Logistical Hassel?

01:05:45 • 2min

32

Would You Like to Have a 50 Percent Chance of a High Level Machine Intelligence?

01:07:15 • 2min

33

Is the Masgaro Law a One Time Shock?

01:09:05 • 2min

34

Is There a Correlation Between Older and Older?

01:10:54 • 2min

35

Are You Trying to Ask People Questions About Other World Events?

01:12:38 • 2min

36

Is the Ai Alignment Problem Hard?

01:14:26 • 2min

37

Should Society Priory Tie?

01:16:26 • 2min

38

Take Off Speeds - Is Slow Take Off a Good Idea?

01:18:18 • 2min

39

Is There a Limit to Human Intelligence?

01:20:34 • 2min

40

How Do You Aggregate Things?

01:22:16 • 2min

41

Is the Commut Distribution a Normal Distribution?

01:24:35 • 5min

42

How Is That Different From the Basic Argument Of, You Know, New Entities?

01:29:40 • 2min

43

Is There a Difference Between Humans and Cognitive Labor?

01:31:15 • 2min

44

Do You Think You're Going to Still Be Alive?

01:33:25 • 2min

45

What Is the Least Impressive Fit That You Would Bet Big Money at Nine to One Odds Cannot Possibly Be Done in Two Years?

01:34:56 • 2min

46

How Much Money a Won't Bet?

01:36:48 • 2min

47

What Will Not Happen in Two Years?

01:38:34 • 3min