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Katja Grace on Slowing Down AI, AI Expert Surveys And Estimating AI Risk
The Inside View
How to Make Predictions on Metaculus?
I think when you are trying to a like guests off on metaculus, which is a wep sidead, make predictions. Most of them are not really in the less than one p cent or more than 99%. I've tried doing those predictions as well. For things that aren't my own behaviour, i'm just surprisingly well celebrated for the most part. But for things that are my own behaviour,. i'm not very good on 80 %. My avrage distance is like about three % offte, the actual thing. Now, a briar score takes into account whether you 're actually right or not. Whereas, for instance, you can be well calivated by your
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