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People I (Mostly) Admire

117. Nate Silver Says We're Bad at Making Predictions

Oct 28, 2023
42:45
Snipd AI
Data scientist Nate Silver discusses making good decisions with data, his predictions and the misconceptions surrounding his 2016 election predictions. He also explores the correlation between political orientation and COVID deaths, the impact of vaccination on death rates in Red and Blue states, and the challenges of making accurate predictions in politics. The chapter also touches upon the acquisition of Nate Silver's website 538 by Disney and the downsizing of the team.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Nate Silver highlights the challenges of predicting election outcomes due to imperfect information and uncertainty, emphasizing the need for a better understanding of probabilistic thinking.
  • Silver attributes his success as a data scientist to common sense, curiosity, and a knack for asking good questions, emphasizing the value of hands-on experience and quick analysis in data science.

Deep dives

Lego sets for adults offer fun and mindful activity

Lego sets for adults provide a fun and hands-on activity that helps individuals recharge and find their flow. With a wide selection of themes, including wonders of the world, movie magic, space exploration, and pop culture icons, there is a Lego set to suit everyone's interests. Unplugging from technology and engaging in the tactile experience of building with Lego bricks can be a refreshing way for adults to unwind and tap into their creativity.

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