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The President’s Inbox
Europe Reacts to Trump’s Victory, With Liana Fix and Matthias Matthijs (Transition 2025, Episode 4)
Nov 26, 2024
Liana Fix, a CFR fellow focusing on European security and transatlantic relations, and Matthias Matthijs, a senior fellow specializing in Europe’s political economy, join James M. Lindsay to unpack Europe's strategy for a potential second Trump administration. They discuss how political turmoil in Germany could reshape EU relations and the pressures of trade policies and defense spending. The conversation also touches on the EU's digital regulations amid U.S. tensions and the growing perception of China as a security threat, influencing European economic strategies.
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Quick takeaways
- European governments are grappling with a leadership void and differing defense spending priorities as they prepare for a potential Trump presidency.
- Eastern European nations view a Trump administration as an opportunity to strengthen their positions, while Western countries face economic constraints.
Deep dives
Europe's Response to Trump's Victory
The reaction to Donald Trump's election victory has been mixed across Europe, with many nations expressing surprise and concern. In Germany, the government collapse directly after the election has created a leadership void, complicating how the country angles for influence within the European Union. Many Europeans had wished for a different outcome, as a significant majority preferred Kamala Harris over Trump, highlighting a disconnect between polling expectations and reality. Without strong leadership in both Germany and France, European nations face challenges in formulating cohesive strategies to address potential issues arising under Trump's administration.
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