The Memo by Howard Marks

I Beg To Differ

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Jul 26, 2022
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ANECDOTE

From Nifty Fifty To High-Yield Bets

  • Howard Marks recounts joining the industry in 1969 and the rise and fall of the Nifty Fifty stocks.
  • He then describes moving into convertible and high-yield bonds and profiting from investing where few others looked.
INSIGHT

You Must Be Different To Outperform

  • Superior returns require departing from consensus because the market already prices collective views.
  • If you don't have better insight than the average investor, expect average risk-adjusted performance.
INSIGHT

Outperformance Is A Zero-Sum Trade

  • All active bets among investors form essentially a zero-sum game, so winners imply losers.
  • Active attempts to outperform carry the intrinsic risk of underperforming if your view proves wrong.
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