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NAB Morning Call

Did I say April? I meant March.

Feb 27, 2025
Gavin Friend, a market economist and strategist at NAB London, unpacks the recent wave of tariff announcements from President Trump and their implications for global markets. He discusses the sharp reactions in currencies, stock prices, and commodities, particularly focusing on the geopolitical factors at play. The talk also covers economic indicators like US PCE numbers and Australian capex, emphasizing how external events, including extreme weather, are influencing jobless claims and employment trends. It's a deep dive into the ever-shifting economic landscape.
18:18

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Recent tariff announcements from President Trump have led to market apprehension, particularly affecting the US dollar and global currencies.
  • Concerns over inflation and its potential impact on economic growth have prompted discussions about consumer confidence and capital investment moves.

Deep dives

Impact of Trump's Tariff Policies on Markets

Recent tariff announcements from President Trump have significantly influenced market reactions, particularly concerning the US dollar and stock performance. The decision to implement tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on China has led to a notable increase in the value of the dollar, while the Australian dollar and other currencies declined as a result. Investors reacted to confusion surrounding these tariff timelines, with concerns that such measures could impact business growth and consumer sentiment in the US. The fragility of the current market situation is evident, as stock performance remains mixed and investors are wary of the implications of Trump's unpredictable trade policies.

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