Excess Returns  cover image

Excess Returns

The Case for a Continued Rally with Warren Pies

Jul 18, 2024
Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, discusses market analysis, AI impact on productivity, market breadth, quality-driven ETF strategy, and combining systematic with discretionary investing. Topics include 60/40 portfolio outlook, inflation, labor market indicators, earnings expectations, seasonality, and retail sentiment.
56:07

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • High-quality stock selection model emphasizes quality companies for consistent performance.
  • Equal-weighted S&P 500 confirms market highs; failure indicates potential negative impact.

Deep dives

Quality stock selection and investment strategies

The investment strategies in the podcast focus on a high-quality stock selection model, emphasizing the importance of quality companies that can perform well across market cycles. The model ranks the top 100 stocks based on quality and trends, selecting the top 20 monthly for the portfolio. The approach combines fundamental quality metrics with trend analysis, rebalancing the concentrated portfolio three to four times a year to capitalize on buy opportunities during dips while maintaining a high-quality focus.

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