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Hold Your Fire!

What's Next for Syria?

Jan 25, 2025
Dareen Khalifa, a seasoned dialogue advisor at Crisis Group, and Nanar Hawach, a Syria expert from Homs, delve into the tumultuous future of Syria post-Assad. They discuss the implications of the HTS offensive, the disbandment of regime forces, and the struggles of new leadership under Ahmed al-Sharaa. They touch on the integration of rebel factions, security challenges faced by minorities, and the delicate balance of U.S. interests amid the risk of a resurgent Islamic State. Political transformation and the quest for stability in a fragmented landscape are key themes.
51:38

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Turkey's dominant influence in Syria's governance transition raises concerns about national sovereignty and regional stability amid ongoing tensions.
  • Syria's new leadership faces significant challenges in consolidating fragmented factions and managing political transitions while navigating economic sanctions and security issues.

Deep dives

Turkey's Role in Syria's Transition

Turkey plays a crucial role in Syria's transformative period following the fall of Bashar al-Assad. The podcast emphasizes that Turkey has emerged as a dominant force behind the new governance structure, raising concerns about the implications for Syria's sovereignty. The U.S. has a vested interest in supporting a stable Syria, which respects religious minorities and prevents the resurgence of extremist groups like ISIS while curbing Iranian influence. Experts highlight the importance of navigating these complex relations to ensure the new leaders can effectively establish governance without further regional conflict.

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