In this discussion, Bassam Haddad, a distinguished professor and director of Middle East studies, unpacks the geopolitical intricacies surrounding the rise and fall of Assad's regime. He delves into the mixed emotions Syrians felt post-ouster, balancing joy with the unsettling aftermath. Haddad also examines the Syrian civil society's struggles, the complex dynamics of sectarianism, and the impact of regional players like Turkey and Iran. Additionally, he critiques the deceptive nature of terrorism definitions and explores the ongoing refugee crisis in Europe.
The historical context of Assad's rise is rooted in Syria's post-colonial complexities and the Cold War's geopolitical stakes.
The initial joy of ousting Assad in 2011 was soon overshadowed by fears of governance amid shifting international alliances.
The fragmentation of Syrian society during the civil war reflects the influence of external actors and competing ideologies on the uprising's goals.
Emerging organized civil society in Syria is crucial for post-conflict recovery, but internal divisions present significant rebuilding challenges.
Deep dives
Supporting Palestinian Voices
The importance of Palestinian voices in global discourse is highlighted through a discussion on the book "Palestine in a World on Fire," which presents conversations with key thinkers like Angela Davis and Noam Chomsky. These discussions underscore the interconnectedness of struggles for justice across the globe, linking the Palestinian liberation movement to broader issues such as capitalism, imperialism, and racism. The insights from these leaders illustrate the vital role Palestine plays in instigating critical dialogue about social justice, urging listeners to engage with these urgent issues. The richness of the scholarship on Palestine is undeniably relevant, facilitating a deeper understanding of both historical and contemporary struggles.
Historical Context of Assad's Regime
The fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime is contextualized within Syria's complex geopolitical landscape and historical backdrop stretching back decades. In the late 1940s, Syria emerged from French colonial rule as a pivotal battleground for regional and global Cold War interests, leading to frequent coups and political instability. The establishment of the Assad regime in 1970 marked the beginning of a brutal, yet nationally assertive government that replaced external control with a more independent Syria. This transition not only reshaped national identity but also signified a struggle for regional power dynamics, affecting Syria's role in surrounding conflicts.
Impact of U.S. and Regional Politics
The geopolitical implications of the Syrian regime's survival involve intricate relationships with neighboring countries and the influence of international powers, particularly the U.S. and Turkey. The ongoing violence in Gaza and Lebanon has shifted the power balance in favor of U.S.-backed Israeli military dominance, complicating the Syrian situation further. Turkish involvement and the responses from various factions within Syria reflect the complexity of regional politics, revealing how external forces have contributed both to the regime's resilience and ongoing instability. The need to understand the geopolitical contestations at play is essential for evaluating Syria's future.
Reflections on the Syrian Uprising
The discussion about the uprising that began in 2011 reveals profound contradictions in the left's analysis of Syria, particularly regarding the joy of ousting a repressive regime versus the realities of the geopolitical aftermath. Many Syrians experienced overwhelming joy during the initial ousting of Assad, yet concerns about future governance overshadowed their celebrations, marking a period of apprehensive joy. The role of external powers like the U.S., Turkey, and Iran complicates the narrative, depicting how alliances and interventions skewed the originally popular uprising towards an unclear trajectory. This juxtaposition between personal sentiments and broader geopolitical dynamics creates a nuanced understanding of Syria's convoluted reality.
Civil War and Fragmentation
The trajectory from a peaceful uprising to a devastating civil war illustrates the fragmentation of Syrian society amid external interventions and the transformation of the uprising's goals. Initially sparked by demands for reform, the uprising quickly escalated into militarization, resulting in powerful external actors, such as Hezbollah and international militants, filling the vacuum left by a fractured opposition. This complex interplay between local sentiments and global interests ultimately led to varying ideologies competing for supremacy, hindering a cohesive revolutionary agenda. Examining this fragmentation deepens the conversations around the failures of the international left to support genuine revolutionary movements.
Challenges Ahead for Syrians
As the recent collapse of Assad's regime introduces a significant geopolitical shift, the challenges ahead for Syrians regarding governance and reconstruction remain profound. The vacuum left by the regime's fall opens avenues for various factions, including HDS and Turkish-backed forces, vying for control, complicating efforts toward a unified transition. The precariousness of Syrian society, exacerbated by prolonged conflict and foreign interventions, presents obstacles to rebuilding a stable governance structure. Navigating these complex dynamics will require a concerted effort to engage diverse social forces and address the underlying issues plaguing the country.
The Role of Civil Society
The path toward recovery for Syria also hinges on the emergence of organized civil society, which has been heavily suppressed during the Assad regime. Various layers of social forces have formed in response to the upheaval, including those advocating for democratization and social change. The relationship between these civil groups and military factions will shape the future landscape of Syria, but internal fragmentation poses a significant challenge. The potential for collaboration between local organizations and political forces is essential for rebuilding a more resilient Syrian society.
Embedded Imperialist Narratives
The conversations around the Syrian conflict also reflect broader imperialist narratives that often overshadow the voices of the people affected by the war. The framing of Syrian refugees in Europe as a crisis showcases how dynamics of race, class, and state policies intersect, leading to increased xenophobia and far-right sentiments. This reality highlights the enduring impact of Western imperialist actions and their consequences for marginalized communities worldwide. Recognizing these narratives is crucial for fostering solidarity not only for refugees but in understanding the complexities of global justice movements.
Featuring Bassam Haddad on the historical and geopolitical origins of Assad’s rise and fall—and what might happen next. We think through the contradictions: honoring the joy felt by Syrians at Assad’s ouster while simultaneously taking stock of a truly bad geopolitical outcome.
Want to learn more? Listen to Thawra, our series on the 20th century political history of the Arab East thedigradio.com/Thawra