Excess Returns Looking at Market Technicals Heading into 2026 | Katie Stockton
Jan 8, 2026
Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies and renowned technical market analyst, shares her insights on market trends ahead of 2026. She discusses the persistent long-term uptrend in U.S. equities but warns of short-term volatility. Stockton delves into the importance of momentum indicators like MACD and stochastics for identifying entry points. She also explores sector dynamics, highlighting the contrasting performances of growth versus value stocks, and shares her perspective on gold and Bitcoin trends. A must-listen for market enthusiasts!
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Uptrend Intact, But Slope Will Soften
- Long-term U.S. equity trends remain constructive heading into 2026 despite slowing momentum.
- Expect a more gradual uptrend with higher volatility and corrective phases offering opportunities.
Don't Anticipate—Wait For Confirmation
- React to confirmations rather than anticipating them and require multi-timeframe evidence before changing long-term posture.
- Respect breakouts or breakdowns, but wait for confirming signals on weekly or monthly indicators.
Nasdaq Triangle Signals Imminent Volatility
- The Nasdaq 100 formed a tightening triangle indicating reduced volatility and an impending big volatility spike.
- A breakout or breakdown from that triangle will likely produce a meaningful directional move.