

28: Annie Duke on How to Decide Under Pressure
Oct 23, 2020
Annie Duke, a world-class decision expert and former pro poker player, dives into the art of making decisions under pressure. She shares valuable insights from her book 'How to Decide', discussing the power of adaptability and diverse perspectives. Duke emphasizes the role of decision-making in emergency medicine, highlighting the need for structured processes and learning from outcomes. With practical tools like pre-mortems and the 'Dr. Evil game', she teaches listeners how to boost decision quality and navigate high-stakes scenarios effectively.
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Childhood Negotiation to Quit Piano
- Annie Duke recalled negotiating with her mother at age eight to quit piano lessons after a year.
- She realized early what paths were not fruitful for her and managed to change direction with reasoned discussion.
Beware the Trap of Resulting
- Resulting causes us to incorrectly equate outcomes with decision quality.
- Bad outcomes are assumed to result from bad decisions and good results from good decisions, which blinds us to learning opportunities.
Slow Thinking Benefits Fast Decisions
- Good decision making involves fast, instinctive responses informed by slow, deliberative processes learned beforehand.
- Reviewing unexpected outcomes helps improve quick decisions by refining mental models outside pressured moments.