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Forward Guidance
Bond Bear Eyes Tactical Long In Treasury Notes | David Cervantes
Oct 9, 2023
01:05:23
Snipd AI
The podcast discusses David Cervantes' macroeconomic views, trading preferences, and the recent sell-off in the bond market. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve bond purchases on interest rates and the relationship between public sector deficits, private sector surpluses, and the possibility of a recession.
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Quick takeaways
- Housing sales have less economic impact compared to construction spending and employment, indicating a housing shortage as a contributing factor to the strength of the construction sector.
- The interplay between declining mortgage rates and economic activity picking up suggests a correlation between the two.
Deep dives
David Cervantes' Background and Trading Approach
David Cervantes, founder of Pine Brook Capital Management, shares his background and trading approach. He primarily focuses on macroeconomic analysis and expresses his views through the rates complex. He trades futures, options, and ETFs, primarily in the rates market.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode