Less Noise, More Signal

Why your money gets debased hard in 2026 (w/ Vincent Deluard)

Jan 15, 2026
In this conversation, Vincent Deluard, Director of global macro strategy at StoneX, offers deep insights into the current economic landscape. He critiques the reliability of CPI data and argues that inflation hasn't disappeared, with examples from housing and healthcare. Deluard discusses gold and Bitcoin as crucial hedges against inflation and highlights the increasing demand for gold by central banks amid geopolitical tensions. The discussion also explores the political influences on Fed policies and the potential resurgence of inflation due to fiscal stimuli.
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INSIGHT

CPI Masks Real Inflation

  • Vincent Deluard argues CPI understates real inflation due to data issues and imputed measures like owner's equivalent rent.
  • He points to visible prices and lived experience as better inflation signals than headline CPI.
ANECDOTE

Ski Ticket Example Of Hidden Inflation

  • Deluard recounts a $350 day lift ticket at Palisades to illustrate real-world price pressures.
  • He uses this personal example to argue inflation remains tangible despite soft CPI readings.
INSIGHT

Labor Market, Not CPI, Drives Fed Cuts

  • Deluard says rate-cut expectations hinge on the labor market more than CPI prints.
  • He argues political pressure on the Fed is keeping Powell reluctant to cut prematurely.
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