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Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes

Live from the Doha Forum: The Middle East after Assad

Dec 9, 2024
Julien Barnes-Dacey, director of ECFR’s MENA programme, and Vali Nasr, a professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins, delve into shifting dynamics in the Middle East following potential changes in Syria. They discuss the implications of the Assad regime's possible fall and how it could reshape political and security landscapes. The conversation also highlights Iran’s evolving foreign policy, especially amid U.S. changes, and the new alliances forming in the region, showcasing a future marked by uncertainty and adaptation.
33:16

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Quick takeaways

  • The potential end of Bashar al-Assad's regime marks a critical shift in Syria, prompting discussions on future governance and regional stability.
  • Iran's waning influence in the Middle East necessitates a strategic reassessment of its security stance amidst evolving geopolitical dynamics.

Deep dives

Dramatic Shift in Syria's Landscape

Recent developments in Syria indicate a significant turning point, as Syrian rebels have reportedly entered Damascus, marking a potential end to Bashar al-Assad's regime. After thirteen years of civil war, the collapse of Assad's support, particularly from Iran and Russia, is now evident, creating an opportunity for the rebels to seize control. The rapid territorial gains made by the rebels from Idlib to the capital city reflect not only a military shift but also the crumbling credibility of the Assad regime. This situation raises questions about the future governance of Syria and the complex challenges that will arise as the country attempts to rebuild.

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