At Any Rate cover image

At Any Rate

US Rates: US Rates Markets 2024 Mid-year Outlook

Jul 8, 2024
JPMorgan's US Rates strategists discuss Fed policy, inflation, and labor markets impact on interest rates. They analyze Federal Reserve's balance sheet normalization, treasury market dynamics, regulatory changes, and the upcoming presidential election's influence on the market outlook.
27:58

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • US rates markets may see a fall in Fed easing due to expected moderation in inflation and balancing labor markets.
  • Anticipated stable funding conditions in the treasury market despite potential liquidity spikes, supported by strategic balance sheet policies.

Deep dives

Outlook on US Rates Markets and Inflation

The podcast discusses the outlook on the US rates markets and inflation. It highlights the expectation of GDP growth stepping down, inflation moderating, and labor markets balancing out, potentially leading to a fall in Fed easing. The data indicates a shift in growth and inflation patterns, particularly focusing on rent inflation and moderation in wage inflation, influencing the Fed's inflationary trend assessment.

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