My Wildest Prediction

‘People will stop making predictions’ David Spiegelhalter says

Mar 26, 2025
David Spiegelhalter, an emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge and author of The Art of Uncertainty, shares insights on the unpredictable nature of predictions. He emphasizes the need for incorporating probabilities to improve forecasting transparency. The discussion delves into the subjective nature of probabilities and their validation, the importance of mathematical literacy amidst growing uncertainties, and how AI is reshaping professions tied to statistical analysis. Spiegelhalter encourages humility and a deeper appreciation for luck in our lives.
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