‘People will stop making predictions’ David Spiegelhalter says
My Wildest Prediction
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Navigating Uncertainty and Probability
This chapter explores the theme of uncertainty in modern life, comparing it to historical contexts and emphasizing the increased challenges faced by younger generations. It highlights the importance of rational discourse, mathematical literacy, and probabilistic thinking as essential tools for navigating an unpredictable world. The discussion advocates for humility in leadership and communication, encouraging a deeper appreciation of luck and randomness in shaping life outcomes.
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