Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
The Wisdom of Crowds Hypothesis
02:32 • 3min
Prediction Markets - The Best Forecaster of the Year
05:24 • 2min
How to Find Underrated Results in a Keynesian Beauty Contest
07:46 • 2min
The ACX Prediction Contest
09:59 • 3min
Top Forecasters in the Contest
12:58 • 2min
Predictions - The Year of the Forecaster
15:17 • 4min
A 40% Versus 41% Chance of a Ukraine Ceasefire
19:25 • 3min