Carry the Two Mathematics & Polling
Oct 31, 2024
David Dutwin, Senior VP at NORC and Chief Scientist of AmeriSpeak, and Nathaniel Rakich, Senior Editor at FiveThirtyEight, dive into the intricate world of polling and surveys. They discuss the nuances of survey design, the challenges of measuring public opinion, and how polling impacts democracy. The pair highlights the importance of accuracy in data collection and the evolving methodologies that aim to enhance polling reliability. They also tackle the complexities of interpreting polling averages and the significance of exit polls in understanding electoral outcomes.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Understanding Surveys and Polls
01:30 • 11min
Mastering Survey Design and Data Accuracy
12:44 • 3min
Polling Dynamics in Democracy
16:07 • 9min
The Limitations of Polls and Last-Minute Election Dynamics
24:44 • 2min
The Role of Exit Polls in Democracy
26:24 • 5min
Understanding Polling Averages in Elections
31:11 • 10min
Engaging the Audience and Acknowledging Support
41:24 • 2min