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Invasion Hype?
- Russia's potential invasion of Ukraine is being hyped by the West, possibly for political gain.
- The Ukrainian government and independent analysts don't see an imminent large-scale invasion.
Motivations for Escalation
- The US might be using the invasion threat to bolster Biden's support or to pressure Germany regarding the Nord Stream pipeline.
- Russia could be using it to gain concessions from NATO or to sow discord among its members.
NATO Expansion Rationale
- NATO expansion after the Soviet collapse was driven by a belief in Russia's decline and Eastern European countries' desire for protection.
- The US's disregard for Russia's concerns during the expansion raises questions about NATO's effectiveness.