20VC: Is More Compute the Answer to Model Performance | Why OpenAI Abandons Products, The Biggest Opportunities They Have Not Taken & Analysing Their Race for AGI | What Companies, AI Labs and Startups Get Wrong About AI with Ethan Mollick
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
Balancing the Spectrum of AI Outcomes
Exploring the potential outcomes of AI development reveals a spectrum from stagnation to unprecedented advancement. The first outcome suggests a plateau where model improvements are minimal, and integration into work processes unfolds slowly over the next decade. This scenario sees a gradual economic boost with specific industries, like photography and customer service, undergoing significant changes. In contrast, the fourth outcome envisions a scenario where machines achieve superintelligence, leading to an intelligence explosion that raises existential questions for humanity. While the media often emphasizes these extremes, the reality will likely involve a more nuanced evolution with a mix of incremental progress and transformative shifts.
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