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TIP610: Mastermind Q1, 2024 w/ Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Overconfidence in Decision-Making
People tend to collect information that aligns with their preconceived beliefs, dismissing contradictory evidence, leading to overconfidence rather than accuracy in decision-making. Research with college students selecting top-performing football teams showed that individuals anchor heavily on initial data, neglecting subsequent information that should inform their choices and make them more flexible and accurate in their predictions.
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