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#1 Michael Mauboussin: When To Trust Your Gut

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

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Intuition and Experience

Intuition is a valuable trait in certain activities, like chess, where experts can quickly assess the board and make decisions. However, it only works in stable linear environments and may not be reliable in unstable or non-linear situations. Experience does not guarantee expertise with a predictive model. Intuition should be used cautiously, as it may not be effective in all realms.

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