The alternate histories and possible futures of nuclear weapons (with Carl Robichaud)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
Nuclear Dangers Multiply with Every New Player
The proliferation of nuclear weapons among countries increases the risk of catastrophic failure modes. Potential technological errors, such as accidental launches or misdetections, can lead to unintended consequences. There is also a concern about irrational leadership—individuals in power may act unpredictably or maliciously. Additionally, the fear-driven preemptive strikes arise when one country perceives an imminent threat from another, potentially resulting in a devastating miscalculation. Each new country acquiring nuclear capabilities elevates the danger, as historical precedents reveal that technical failures and human errors have previously permitted the use of nuclear weapons. The likelihood of misuse grows significantly with the increasing number of nations holding these weapons.
