Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
The alternate histories and possible futures of nuclear weapons (with Carl Robichaud)
Feb 2, 2024
Carl Robichaud, co-leader of Longview's nuclear weapons policy program, shares his insights on the precarious global landscape of nuclear arms. He discusses whether the world has been 'lucky' regarding nuclear incidents and the deterrent effect of these weapons. The conversation dives into the motivations behind nuclear proliferation, particularly in countries like Iran and Pakistan. Robichaud emphasizes the risks posed by non-state actors and the importance of public advocacy, highlighting the need for dialogue among nuclear powers and increased funding for nonproliferation efforts.
01:18:15
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Quick takeaways
- Nuclear weapons have potential benefits and risks, as they have averted large-scale wars but also pose catastrophic consequences in case of use.
- Efforts to prevent nuclear proliferation require a focus on security concerns, effective measures, and international partnerships.
Deep dives
The Threat of Nuclear Weapons
Nuclear weapons have sparked debates on whether they have been beneficial or detrimental to the world. On the one hand, they have coincided with a period of peace between major powers, potentially averting large-scale wars. On the other hand, the consequences of a nuclear war would be catastrophic, with estimates ranging from 300 to 500 million immediate deaths. The actual number of deaths from nuclear weapons in history is disputed but less than a million. However, even a small probability of a large-scale nuclear war would result in millions of deaths. Overall, the risk of nuclear weapons being used remains a concern, and efforts should focus on reducing the likelihood of their use and promoting nuclear disarmament.
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