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Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart cover image

Lacy Hunt: Prepare For Recession, The Fed's Optimism Is Wrong

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

NOTE

Negative Net National Saving and Its Deleterious Effects

In 2023, the federal budget deficit exceeded all private and foreign saving contributed to the economy, a situation that has only occurred seven times before. This negative net national saving means the economy is financing consumption by not replacing the depreciated capital stock, leading to deleterious effects that will accumulate over time. This scenario has historically been associated with serious economic contractions such as the Great Depression and the great financial crisis. The United States is currently in this critical situation.

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