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Ep 141: Matt Pottinger on the Defense of Taiwan (Boiling Moat #1)

School of War

INSIGHT

Misconceptions about Accidental Wars and Provocation

  • The idea of accidental wars and the provocation misconception are inaccurate.
  • The argument that restrictions or embargos inevitably lead to war is flawed.
  • The example of Japan's aggression in Asia before the oil embargo demonstrates that war is a result of deliberate choices, not accidental circumstances or provocations.
  • Focusing on avoiding escalation can sometimes lead to accommodating aggressors, which has historically resulted in further demands and negative consequences.
  • Appeasement only emboldens aggressors.
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