School of War Ep 141: Matt Pottinger on the Defense of Taiwan (Boiling Moat #1)
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Sep 3, 2024 Matt Pottinger, a distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution and Chairman of FDD's China Program, dives into the urgent defense of Taiwan. He analyzes how a potential conflict could ignite and the crucial need for deterrence against China. Pottinger draws historical parallels, discussing military preparedness and its paradoxical effects on peace. He warns against the myth of accidental wars, emphasizing that leadership decisions shape conflicts. The conversation highlights Taiwan's strategic importance in global supply chains and the necessity for coordinated defense among allies.
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Xi Jinping's Taiwan Focus
- Xi Jinping's Taiwan annexation goal outweighs maintaining peace, evidenced by his words and actions.
- His support for Russia's war, Iran, and pressure on the Philippines suggest preparation for a Taiwan takeover.
Taiwan's Importance
- Annexing Taiwan carries significant geopolitical, economic, and democratic consequences.
- It resembles Japan's Asia rampage in the 1930s-40s, threatening global recession and democracy.
Deterrence Strategy
- Deterrence relies on persuading the adversary that war is not in their interest.
- Focus on a strong military deterrent to influence decision-making.