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Elon Musk Goes All In On Trump, and Predicting the 2024 Election, with Nate Silver, Bethany Mandel, and Karol Markowicz | Ep. 860

The Megyn Kelly Show

NOTE

Market Models Must Reflect Reality

The suspension of forecasts by FiveThirtyEight raises questions about the reliability of their model, which appears disconnected from current polling data. While they initially projected President Biden to perform better than Kamala Harris based on factors like the economy and incumbency, this prediction is now deemed implausible given the latest information. The situation highlights the need for predictive models to align with real-time analytics and public sentiment, particularly in a dynamically evolving political landscape.

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