The Megyn Kelly Show

Elon Musk Goes All In On Trump, and Predicting the 2024 Election, with Nate Silver, Bethany Mandel, and Karol Markowicz | Ep. 860

102 snips
Aug 13, 2024
Nate Silver, founder of Silver Bulletin and election forecasting expert, joins the discussion on political predictions for 2024. He shares insights on the evolving landscape and why Trump might still be a strong contender. Bethany Mandel and Karol Markowicz, co-authors of "Stolen Youth," dive into the challenges of free speech and media scrutiny surrounding prominent figures like Elon Musk and Trump. They recommend strategies for Trump to resonate with swing voters, emphasizing the need for clarity and policy focus in his messaging.
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ANECDOTE

From Poker to Politics

  • Nate Silver's career began unconventionally.
  • He transitioned from a boring consulting job to professional poker playing before becoming a political prognosticator.
INSIGHT

Independence Over Corporate

  • Nate Silver's departure from ABC was due to their lack of a business strategy for FiveThirtyEight.
  • He now thrives in independent media, enjoying the freedom and control it offers.
INSIGHT

Forecasting Challenges

  • FiveThirtyEight's suspension of its forecast might be due to distrust in their model, which overestimated Biden's chances.
  • This highlights the challenge of maintaining objectivity in political forecasting.
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