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Four: Spencer Greenberg on the scientific approach to solving difficult everyday questions
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
[[Update your priors to avoid counter-evidence creep]]
The odds way of thinking about actua, although it's like, a little annoying to convert between odds and probabilities, turns out to just be much simpler to think about. So i'll tell you, the way that i use this the most in life is i get, you know, i have some belief about a thing, and i want to know, wait aminute, is this tick really? Let's gay, is evidence against my watmy belief? And i want to say myself, is this weak evidence, or is this strong evidence? Ris kind of moderate? And i like to do that double check of, well, how likely it ould be to
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